Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 107.751870 122.367029 138.446083 157.482769 179.450389 204.056605 233.779063
2026-02-08 85.291191 104.056896 126.392997 155.070279 191.100349 235.113662 293.325070
2026-02-15 73.409219 94.240730 120.471831 156.189008 203.958325 266.206152 354.383086
2026-02-22 65.398591 87.475812 116.573003 158.146259 216.697723 297.229525 418.129788
2026-03-01 57.400195 79.428672 109.582436 154.437610 220.431271 315.474968 465.483184
2026-03-08 51.230506 73.037405 103.901645 151.487646 224.289219 333.582113 514.119174
2026-03-15 46.607528 68.269926 99.876497 150.233498 230.103809 354.726316 569.567738
2026-03-22 44.404035 66.778742 100.408622 155.745966 246.702309 394.181595 659.564084
2026-03-29 42.216372 65.046786 100.315193 160.113528 261.732561 432.563716 752.719773
2026-04-05 39.204089 61.712745 97.338490 159.375753 267.992582 456.630290 823.445216
2026-04-12 36.940436 59.358502 95.680683 160.586270 277.574846 487.333683 910.333652
2026-04-19 34.611294 56.681346 93.221359 160.102303 283.965312 512.795906 990.398746
2026-04-26 32.531090 54.451471 91.661026 161.690499 295.551755 551.687198 1108.440751
2026-05-03 29.953252 51.161049 88.004950 159.171512 299.302985 576.467054 1202.658066
2026-05-10 28.210853 49.168737 86.433605 160.321196 310.246110 616.952564 1337.897750
2026-05-17 26.765691 47.568463 85.397511 162.335635 323.099578 663.065846 1494.176175
2026-05-24 24.709959 44.656363 81.635977 158.518520 323.314844 682.048836 1589.846500
2026-05-31 22.956377 42.161660 78.437791 155.482478 324.777152 703.896995 1696.466963
2026-06-07 21.570222 40.253389 76.202676 154.191788 329.871777 734.665158 1831.563574
2026-06-14 21.054697 39.996095 77.203113 159.865108 351.353681 807.042275 2091.276289
2026-06-21 20.442933 39.491505 77.648149 164.360544 370.673382 877.100438 2359.579382
2026-06-28 19.368531 37.959681 75.832616 163.601141 377.330466 916.353916 2547.806640
2026-07-05 18.559702 36.910643 74.939698 164.847148 389.053107 970.471241 2792.151080